Pakistan and its options

After witnessing its own 26/11, unleashed upon it by NATO government of Pakistan has been facing tremendous pressure, with US aid dwindling, worsening global economics scenario and rising capabilities of Afghanistan Army with rapidly increasing Indian support to Afghanistan, Pakistan finds itself completely isolated. Its tactics to pressurise US using NATO supply lines has run out of steam and its support to extremism in Kashmir is all set to backfire as it happened on Afghanistan border where federal government of Pakistan is trying hard to assert its control over its own territory.

Over the past decade Indian army has multiplied its surveillance capabilities and has managed to check infiltration, which has created a tremendous backlog in terror camps across the border, with number of trained terrorists going as high as 15000, and with chronic shortage of basic amenities number of students in madarsas operated by terrorist organisations like Jamat-ud-Dawa & Lashkar-e-Tayaba, soaring to 200,000 making it almost impossible for government to Pakistan to take any action.

In past Pakistan has borne the brunt of the ire of its own creation when it dared to act against lal Masjid concentration and faced severe backlash for months by various organisations like TTP. In past Pakistan survived many do or die situation without actually doing anything, but then it had the US support and Chinese friendship. Now, when US is out of the scene and China over occupied with its own border troubles and North Korea, how much it will be able to support Pakistan is anyone’s guess.

Therefore the only option available to Pakistan is to try and push these terrorists into Indian state and to bring Kashmir back on international scene, from where it has largely disappeared. With 2014 approaching faster than imagined Pakistan can also try to increase tensions with India with not actually going to war but to keep India tied down on its own border, therefore reducing Indian intervention in post NATO Afghanistan and to send these huge number to trained men to Afghanistan to scuttle Afghanistan government exactly the way they did during Soviet invasion, as by that time US might not be willing to stay back in Afghanistan anymore and defeating ill-trained, ill equipped Afghanistan army won’t be that difficult for seasoned ISI.