I mentioned increased diplomatic conversation between USA and Pakistan in my post few days ago, events last night summed them all pretty nicely. No matter what USA or Pakistan's official statements are saying but as always truth lies behind the curtains. Osama was killed in Pakistan and I don't have any doubt that it is Pakistan which traded him off for something extremely special.
Because reasons given and reactions made by Pakistan are certainly not acceptable to say the least. I'm not willing to buy Pakistan's argument that Americans simply blinded their radar's and entered their airspace and successfully carried out such a huge mission.
Choppers used for the mission might have been purpose built special mission helicopters with capabilities to jam radars etc. but not to forget that Pakistan has got AWACS and few nice Chinese radar's and that Aibatabad is not far from Indian border and is near to Pakistan's capital city and has a military academy. Hence such a smooth entry in Pakistan is not as easy as has been expressed in media, and if it is true, I feel sorry for the entire state of Pakistan.
More likely and more Practical is trade-off, but then their is a question of reputation of Pakistan, because if Pakistan has the willingness, power and capability to trade Osama for something, why did they allowed American's to kill him on their own soil, which will heavily spoil the already dented image of Pakistan globally and it will have a long lasting impact.
However, Pakistan might suffer extremely badly due to this, because of the presence of huge number of heavily armed terrorists in its western border region. In past few months intensity their action has been reduced and Pakistani security agencies manage to control the menace, which may run out of control and out of proportion due to this action.
Whatever the trade-off is, It is for sure going to cause lot of trouble to the entire state of Pakistan and it will only weaken it here according to some analysts if pressure mounts and threatens its sovereignty, it might be forced to do what it does best to keep entire country united, yeah you got it right a war against India in the name of Kashmir. However far fetched it may sound which actually it is but it's not impossible, given the desperate need for an exit route country's leadership is seeking on this issue, but chances of it happening are just 0.001% given the financial stress Pakistan is facing, secondly Pakistan army is just not equipped to fight on two borders at a time when its internal security is at all time low.
As far as India is concerned, it has got nothing out of Osama's death except for the fact that if Pakistan gets its act together now, it might be the beginning towards the end of extremism in the region. But, Osama's death will fuel the terror outfits recruitment drive, hence threatening the entire region. Which might force USA to expand zone of conflict and might trigger drone attacks and special operations not only in FATA and SWAT but also in Pakistani Punajb, where lal-Masjid happened few years ago during musharraf's regime and where India centric terrorists are holed up.
Whatever the outcomes may be, Death of Osama is a welcome change and should be a first step for a more peaceful world.
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